Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 30 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Aho 51.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 39-28 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 80.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 66.2%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 66.4%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Kuznetsov
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
39
(67 meetings)
28
39
Kuznetsov
Aho
Last 10: Kuznetsov 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
12
18
Kuznetsov
Aho
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
8
10
Kuznetsov
Aho
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
8
11
Kuznetsov
Aho
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
50.1% (6,619)
-6.2%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
58.9% (1,310)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
46.3% (464)
-8.1%
On power play, Aho has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Aho
Home
44.8% (4,622)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Aho
P1
43.6%
51.1%
P2
45.8%
52.0%
P3
42.8%
50.7%
OT
43.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2022 | OT | 00:58 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |