Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Sebastian Aho
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Aho 53.8% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 53.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 61.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 53.3%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kuznetsov
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuznetsov
Aho
Last 5: Kuznetsov 2-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Kuznetsov
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
51.2% (785)
-6.8%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
63.8% (213)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
57.9% (57)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Aho
Home
48.6% (370)
54.9% (548)
Away
41.4% (377)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Aho
P1
44.3%
52.8%
P2
49.6%
58.9%
P3
41.4%
50.6%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |