Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 39.7% vs Hertl 51.4% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 80.3%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 87.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 86.3%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Kuznetsov
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kuznetsov
Hertl
Last 5: Kuznetsov 0-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kuznetsov
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Kuznetsov
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kuznetsov
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (960)
51.7% (869)
-12.7%
Power Play
37.8% (45)
55.7% (176)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
44.9% (138)
-17.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kuznetsov is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hertl
Home
40.3% (533)
51.8% (583)
Away
36.9% (490)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hertl
P1
37.8%
52.5%
P2
41.5%
50.9%
P3
36.4%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
31.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
38.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 00:12 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |