Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 86.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 57.8%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 75.0%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
56.5% (712)
-13.2%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
59.7% (67)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
44.9% (49)
-4.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Home
43.9% (602)
58.5% (402)
Away
43.1% (564)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Seguin
P1
43.2%
58.4%
P2
41.5%
54.7%
P3
45.2%
54.1%
OT
55.6%
72.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |