Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Seguin 55.4% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 60.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
56.9% (478)
-12.5%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
57.4% (54)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
51.3% (76)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Home
48.6% (370)
57.4% (317)
Away
41.4% (377)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Seguin
P1
44.3%
50.3%
P2
49.6%
60.4%
P3
41.4%
58.0%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |