Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Seguin 54.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 65.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 52.1%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 56.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Last 5: Kuznetsov 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
55.0% (713)
-7.3%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
56.7% (104)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
47.2% (53)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Seguin
Home
45.9% (534)
56.2% (443)
Away
49.2% (535)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Seguin
P1
44.8%
54.2%
P2
52.1%
52.9%
P3
44.5%
57.1%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |