Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Chytil wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Hayes 47.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Chytil leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 74.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 66.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Chytil
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Chytil
Hayes
Last 10: Chytil 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
6
Chytil
Hayes
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
6
3
Chytil
Hayes
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
4
3
Chytil
Hayes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
47.5% (6,708)
-5.4%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
51.7% (702)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
45.3% (697)
-7.8%
On power play, Hayes has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Chytil shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Chytil
Hayes
Home
42.8% (1,337)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Chytil
Hayes
P1
40.8%
47.5%
P2
43.8%
47.6%
P3
41.4%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |