Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs Hayes 49.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.7%
Defensive zone
Chytil 61.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.5%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Chytil
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Chytil
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Chytil
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
48.5% (557)
-8.6%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
53.3% (107)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
58.3% (12)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Chytil is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Chytil shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Chytil
Hayes
Home
38.2% (285)
50.8% (313)
Away
41.0% (346)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Chytil
Hayes
P1
38.0%
52.3%
P2
42.1%
47.7%
P3
39.2%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |