Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.4% vs 42.8%). Look for Chytil on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 45.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Chytil
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chytil
Hayes
Last 5: Chytil 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Chytil
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
1
Chytil
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Chytil
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (283)
42.7% (478)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
42.9% (98)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.2% (31)
+4.8%
On power play, Chytil has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Chytil is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Chytil shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Chytil
Hayes
Home
42.8% (152)
43.5% (232)
Away
44.0% (159)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Chytil
Hayes
P1
44.0%
40.1%
P2
44.4%
44.8%
P3
40.9%
42.4%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |