Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs Hayes 51.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 58.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.7%
Neutral zone
Chytil 51.1%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Chytil
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Chytil
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Chytil
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
51.6% (386)
-4.7%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
53.2% (47)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
60.0% (20)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Chytil is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Chytil shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Chytil
Hayes
Home
49.7% (286)
50.5% (200)
Away
43.9% (278)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Chytil
Hayes
P1
47.5%
58.8%
P2
47.1%
49.3%
P3
45.7%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |