Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 79.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.7%
Neutral zone
Chytil 50.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Chytil
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Chytil
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Chytil
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Chytil
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
49.4% (867)
-9.5%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
56.0% (25)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
40.7% (216)
-0.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Chytil is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Chytil shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Chytil
Bjugstad
Home
38.2% (285)
46.5% (480)
Away
41.0% (346)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Chytil
Bjugstad
P1
38.0%
48.7%
P2
42.1%
45.6%
P3
39.2%
49.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |