Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Chytil wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 73.2%
Defensive zone
Chytil 70.6%
Neutral zone
Chytil 72.1%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Chytil
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Chytil
Bjugstad
Last 10: Chytil 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
3
0
Chytil
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
6
Chytil
Bjugstad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
5
Chytil
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
48.6% (6,634)
-6.5%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
55.2% (829)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
44.3% (614)
-6.8%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Chytil is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (915).
Chytil shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Chytil
Bjugstad
Home
42.8% (1,337)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Chytil
Bjugstad
P1
40.8%
49.0%
P2
43.8%
49.1%
P3
41.4%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |