Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.4%). Chytil wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 56.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.6%
Neutral zone
Chytil 50.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Chytil
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chytil
Bjugstad
Last 5: Chytil 2-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Chytil
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
46.7% (398)
+0.2%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
51.6% (31)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
62.5% (8)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Chytil is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Chytil shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Chytil
Bjugstad
Home
49.7% (286)
47.3% (220)
Away
43.9% (278)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Chytil
Bjugstad
P1
47.5%
46.1%
P2
47.1%
46.3%
P3
45.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
44.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |