Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Chytil wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs Paul 53.4% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 75.7%
Defensive zone
Chytil 78.7%
Neutral zone
Chytil 73.4%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Chytil
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Chytil
Paul
Last 10: Chytil 3-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
3
1
Chytil
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Chytil
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
5
Chytil
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
53.8% (753)
-13.9%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
58.9% (90)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.4% (78)
-7.4%
On power play, Paul has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Chytil is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Chytil shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Chytil
Paul
Home
38.2% (285)
54.2% (450)
Away
41.0% (346)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Chytil
Paul
P1
38.0%
58.2%
P2
42.1%
50.6%
P3
39.2%
52.9%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |