Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Chytil wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Paul 52.2% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 86.8%
Defensive zone
Chytil 87.6%
Neutral zone
Chytil 92.5%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Chytil
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Chytil
Paul
Last 10: Chytil 1-9 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
3
2
Chytil
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
4
Chytil
Paul
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
9
Chytil
Paul
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
52.5% (3,796)
-10.4%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
56.5% (480)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
46.7% (574)
-9.2%
On power play, Paul has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Chytil shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Chytil
Paul
Home
42.8% (1,337)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Chytil
Paul
P1
40.8%
53.9%
P2
43.8%
51.0%
P3
41.4%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |