Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs Paul 50.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 79.2%
Defensive zone
Chytil 50.9%
Neutral zone
Chytil 65.7%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Chytil
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Chytil
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Chytil
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Chytil
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
48.8% (666)
-1.9%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
53.8% (65)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
60.0% (55)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Chytil is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Chytil shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Chytil
Paul
Home
49.7% (286)
49.7% (348)
Away
43.9% (278)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Chytil
Paul
P1
47.5%
51.0%
P2
47.1%
47.4%
P3
45.7%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |