Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 45.0% vs Roy 48.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 63.9%
Defensive zone
Chytil 51.3%
Neutral zone
Chytil 64.6%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Chytil
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Chytil
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Chytil
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Chytil
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (283)
49.5% (746)
-7.5%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
50.7% (75)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.7% (110)
+7.3%
On even strength, Roy has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Chytil is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Chytil shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Chytil
Roy
Home
42.8% (152)
47.7% (491)
Away
44.0% (159)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Chytil
Roy
P1
44.0%
51.1%
P2
44.4%
44.6%
P3
40.9%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |