Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Chytil wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Roy 48.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 80.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.7%
Neutral zone
Chytil 61.2%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Chytil
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Chytil
Roy
Last 10: Chytil 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
3
2
Chytil
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Chytil
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Chytil
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
48.7% (3,719)
-6.6%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
49.5% (283)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
45.5% (477)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Chytil is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (915).
Chytil shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Chytil
Roy
Home
42.8% (1,337)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Chytil
Roy
P1
40.8%
50.8%
P2
43.8%
46.3%
P3
41.4%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |