Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs Roy 48.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 85.2%
Defensive zone
Chytil 59.9%
Neutral zone
Chytil 69.1%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Chytil
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Chytil
Roy
Last 5: Chytil 1-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Chytil
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Chytil
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Chytil
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
48.3% (633)
-8.4%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
52.1% (48)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
43.7% (87)
-3.7%
On power play, Roy has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Chytil is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Chytil shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Chytil
Roy
Home
38.2% (285)
50.8% (376)
Away
41.0% (346)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Chytil
Roy
P1
38.0%
53.8%
P2
42.1%
43.5%
P3
39.2%
46.4%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |