Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-13.7%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Nazar
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
57.7% (998)
-12.5%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
60.5% (271)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
56.4% (39)
-11.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Nazar
Tavares
Home
43.4% (196)
59.7% (610)
Away
45.9% (185)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Nazar
Tavares
P1
47.3%
57.2%
P2
40.3%
58.5%
P3
46.7%
59.4%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%