Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Sturm 57.1% (-14.2%)
Offensive zone
Nazar 51.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 73.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Nazar
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
62.1% (356)
-16.9%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
75.0% (4)
-35.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
38.7% (62)
+6.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Nazar
Sturm
Home
43.4% (196)
61.8% (191)
Away
45.9% (185)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Nazar
Sturm
P1
47.3%
58.0%
P2
40.3%
57.9%
P3
46.7%
60.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%