Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Vatrano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Vatrano 41.6% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Vatrano 51.2%
Defensive zone
Zary 55.0%
Neutral zone
Zary 51.2%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Zary
Vatrano
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Vatrano
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
38.3% (209)
+3.5%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
29.4% (17)
+6.8%
On power play, Zary has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vatrano shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. Vatrano is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Zary
Vatrano
Home
41.3% (293)
37.1% (116)
Away
41.0% (212)
39.1% (128)
By Period
Zary
Vatrano
P1
40.4%
37.8%
P2
38.6%
33.3%
P3
45.2%
43.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
38.1%