Fraser Minten vs Frederick Gaudreau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Minten wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 47.4% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 52.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 61.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 60.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Minten
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Minten
Gaudreau
Last 6: Minten 5-1 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
3
0
Minten
Gaudreau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (155)
49.2% (858)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
39.0% (41)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.0% (198)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Minten is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Minten shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Minten
Gaudreau
Home
49.5% (101)
47.1% (546)
Away
40.3% (67)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Minten
Gaudreau
P1
37.3%
46.8%
P2
44.1%
46.8%
P3
55.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
43.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
45.8%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |