Fraser Minten vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 84.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 68.1%
Neutral zone
Minten 67.8%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Minten
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Minten
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Minten
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
45.0% (389)
+4.6%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
31.8% (22)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
37.6% (125)
-5.0%
On power play, Minten has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Minten is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Minten shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Minten
Gaudreau
Home
51.6% (322)
42.6% (277)
Away
45.4% (372)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Minten
Gaudreau
P1
44.9%
43.8%
P2
46.6%
44.8%
P3
52.1%
39.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |