Fraser Minten vs Frederick Gaudreau

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.6%). Look for Minten on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Minten wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Minten 48.0% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor Minten leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Minten 60.8%
Defensive zone Gaudreau 67.6%
Neutral zone Gaudreau 54.2%
Result Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Minten Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 2 (10 meetings)
8
2
Minten Gaudreau
Last 10: Minten 8-2 Gaudreau

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
3
1
Minten Gaudreau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
3
1
Minten Gaudreau
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Minten
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
48.7% (3,745)
+0.1%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
53.9% (219)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
46.6% (789)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +12.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Minten is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Minten shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Home / Away
Minten
Gaudreau
Home
51.2% (449)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
44.4% (450)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Minten
Gaudreau
P1
44.0%
49.7%
P2
46.4%
47.3%
P3
52.1%
49.1%
OT
83.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%
49.5%
47.8%
Gaudreau
34.0%
44.5%
48.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 15, 2026 3 07:57 Offensive Fraser Minten
Jan 6, 2026 1 15:28 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 6, 2026 1 09:34 Neutral Fraser Minten
Jan 29, 2025 3 16:07 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 29, 2025 3 02:08 Neutral Fraser Minten
Jan 29, 2025 2 11:57 Defensive Fraser Minten
Jan 29, 2025 2 06:31 Offensive Fraser Minten
Jan 29, 2025 2 02:00 Defensive Fraser Minten
Jan 29, 2025 2 01:39 Defensive Fraser Minten
Oct 14, 2023 1 07:27 Neutral Fraser Minten