Fraser Minten vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.6%). Look for Minten on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Minten wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Minten leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Minten 60.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 67.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 54.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Minten
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Minten
Gaudreau
Last 10: Minten 8-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
3
1
Minten
Gaudreau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
3
1
Minten
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
48.7% (3,745)
+0.1%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
53.9% (219)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
46.6% (789)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Minten is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Minten shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Home / Away
Minten
Gaudreau
Home
51.2% (449)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
44.4% (450)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Minten
Gaudreau
P1
44.0%
49.7%
P2
46.4%
47.3%
P3
52.1%
49.1%
OT
83.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |