Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 47.4% vs Dickinson 49.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 61.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 76.3%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 60.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Minten
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Minten
Dickinson
Last 5: Minten 3-2 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Minten
Dickinson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (155)
51.5% (695)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
54.5% (11)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.4% (210)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Minten is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Minten shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Minten
Dickinson
Home
49.5% (101)
53.6% (489)
Away
40.3% (67)
44.7% (427)
By Period
Minten
Dickinson
P1
37.3%
47.7%
P2
44.1%
52.1%
P3
55.2%
47.8%
Final 5 min
43.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
45.8%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |