Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Dickinson 49.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 68.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 78.5%
Neutral zone
Minten 50.8%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Minten
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Minten
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Minten
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
51.8% (643)
-2.2%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
66.7% (9)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
38.7% (150)
-6.1%
On power play, Dickinson has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Minten shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Minten
Dickinson
Home
51.6% (322)
48.7% (419)
Away
45.4% (372)
50.4% (383)
By Period
Minten
Dickinson
P1
44.9%
42.6%
P2
46.6%
55.0%
P3
52.1%
50.0%
OT
83.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |