Fraser Minten vs Jason Dickinson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.6%). Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Dickinson 47.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Minten leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Minten 67.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 65.8%
Neutral zone
Minten 51.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Minten
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Minten
Dickinson
Last 10: Minten 6-4 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Dickinson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
1
Minten
Dickinson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
4
2
Minten
Dickinson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
49.0% (4,363)
-0.2%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
51.1% (141)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
40.5% (884)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,448).
Home / Away
Minten
Dickinson
Home
51.2% (449)
49.3% (2,779)
Away
44.4% (450)
45.9% (2,609)
By Period
Minten
Dickinson
P1
44.0%
46.9%
P2
46.4%
48.1%
P3
52.1%
47.8%
OT
83.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |