Fraser Minten vs Justin Dowling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Dowling 48.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 54.9%
Defensive zone
Dowling 58.1%
Neutral zone
Dowling 57.8%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Minten
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Minten
Dowling
Last 6: Minten 4-2 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Dowling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Dowling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Dowling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
49.4% (652)
-0.6%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
40.6% (32)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
33.3% (9)
+0.7%
On power play, Minten has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Minten
Dowling
Home
51.2% (449)
48.2% (301)
Away
44.4% (450)
49.2% (392)
By Period
Minten
Dowling
P1
44.0%
47.6%
P2
46.4%
50.4%
P3
52.1%
48.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |