Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 49.6% vs Dowling 47.8% (+17.8%)
Offensive zone
Minten 52.3%
Defensive zone
Minten 61.3%
Neutral zone
Minten 52.4%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Minten
Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (35)
33.3% (12)
+15.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Minten has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Minten is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Minten shoots left. Dowling is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (5).
By Period
Minten
Dowling
P1
53.3%
33.3%
P2
57.1%
0.0%
P3
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
14.3%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.6%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
30.8%