Fraser Minten vs Justin Dowling

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Fraser Minten holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Minten 48.5% vs Dowling 49.5% (+15.0%)
Offensive zone Minten 55.0%
Defensive zone Minten 59.6%
Neutral zone Minten 57.8%
Result Fraser Minten favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Minten Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Minten
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
33.3% (3)
+16.3%
On even strength, Minten has a +16.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Minten shoots left. Dowling is 100.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Home / Away
Minten
Dowling
Home
51.6% (322)
100.0% (1)
Away
45.4% (372)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Minten
Dowling
P1
44.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
0.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%
49.5%
48.3%
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%