Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Minten wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 47.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 54.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Minten
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Minten
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Minten
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
3
2
Minten
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (155)
48.7% (495)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
56.9% (65)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
43.8% (144)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Minten is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Minten shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Minten
Foligno
Home
49.5% (101)
49.6% (359)
Away
40.3% (67)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Minten
Foligno
P1
37.3%
46.7%
P2
44.1%
52.7%
P3
55.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
45.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |