Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Foligno 49.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 69.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 57.0%
Neutral zone
Minten 58.2%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Minten
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Minten
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Minten
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Minten
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
49.0% (261)
+0.6%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
57.1% (42)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
47.1% (51)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Minten shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Minten
Foligno
Home
51.6% (322)
48.9% (178)
Away
45.4% (372)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Minten
Foligno
P1
44.9%
40.4%
P2
46.6%
55.8%
P3
52.1%
51.2%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |