Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 49.6% vs Novak 43.5% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 72.8%
Defensive zone
Minten 67.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Minten
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (35)
40.7% (460)
+7.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.5% (39)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Minten has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Minten is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Minten shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Minten
Novak
Home
53.8% (26)
47.0% (236)
Away
36.4% (11)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Minten
Novak
P1
53.3%
43.1%
P2
57.1%
43.1%
P3
40.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
14.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%