Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 47.4% vs Novak 45.0% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Novak 64.7%
Defensive zone
Minten 70.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.5%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Minten
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (155)
42.9% (198)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
40.9% (22)
+9.1%
On power play, Minten has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Minten is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Minten shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Minten
Novak
Home
49.5% (101)
40.9% (110)
Away
40.3% (67)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Minten
Novak
P1
37.3%
39.1%
P2
44.1%
43.9%
P3
55.2%
44.9%
Final 5 min
43.2%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
45.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%