Adam Fantilli vs Frederick Gaudreau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 65.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 82.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 65.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Last 5: Fantilli 3-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
49.2% (858)
-8.5%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
39.0% (41)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
46.0% (198)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gaudreau
Home
44.1% (488)
47.1% (546)
Away
38.6% (531)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Fantilli
Gaudreau
P1
42.0%
46.8%
P2
43.0%
46.8%
P3
39.3%
51.1%
OT
11.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |