Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Gaudreau 49.3% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 69.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 84.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Horvat
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Horvat
Gaudreau
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Gaudreau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
48.4% (770)
+6.3%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
58.7% (46)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
50.3% (199)
+1.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gaudreau
Home
59.8% (853)
51.1% (507)
Away
53.8% (832)
47.4% (508)
By Period
Horvat
Gaudreau
P1
55.0%
49.4%
P2
58.3%
47.4%
P3
57.8%
51.2%
OT
44.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |