Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Hayes
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.4%). Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Hayes 49.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 74.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Gaudreau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
48.5% (557)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
53.3% (107)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
58.3% (12)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hayes
Home
51.1% (507)
50.8% (313)
Away
47.4% (508)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hayes
P1
49.4%
52.3%
P2
47.4%
47.7%
P3
51.2%
48.4%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |