Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 47.7%). Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Hayes 47.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 63.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 55.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Gaudreau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Gaudreau
Hayes
Last 10: Gaudreau 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Gaudreau
Hayes
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
2
Gaudreau
Hayes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
47.5% (6,708)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
51.7% (702)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
45.3% (697)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hayes
Home
49.2% (2,437)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hayes
P1
49.7%
47.5%
P2
47.3%
47.6%
P3
49.1%
47.9%
OT
36.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |