Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Hayes
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Hayes 51.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 78.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 56.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Gaudreau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gaudreau
Hayes
Last 7: Gaudreau 5-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
51.6% (386)
-2.4%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
53.2% (47)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
60.0% (20)
-14.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hayes
Home
47.1% (546)
50.5% (200)
Away
49.4% (551)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hayes
P1
46.8%
58.8%
P2
46.8%
49.3%
P3
51.1%
48.0%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |