Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Stenlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 72.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 91.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 89.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
58.6% (797)
-9.4%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
62.5% (24)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
60.5% (233)
-14.5%
On power play, Stenlund has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Gaudreau shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Home
47.1% (546)
58.6% (548)
Away
49.4% (551)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Gaudreau
Stenlund
P1
46.8%
60.2%
P2
46.8%
59.1%
P3
51.1%
58.3%
OT
40.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |