Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 73.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 69.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 71.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
56.1% (615)
-11.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
53.2% (47)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
52.1% (307)
-14.5%
On power play, Stenlund has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Gaudreau shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Home
42.6% (277)
57.0% (458)
Away
42.9% (259)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Gaudreau
Stenlund
P1
43.8%
55.1%
P2
44.8%
53.3%
P3
39.2%
56.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |