Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Stenlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 68.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 62.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
1
Gaudreau
Stenlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Gaudreau
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Gaudreau
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
55.3% (2,703)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
52.6% (116)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
50.6% (919)
-4.0%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Gaudreau shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Home
49.2% (2,437)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Gaudreau
Stenlund
P1
49.7%
56.4%
P2
47.3%
53.3%
P3
49.1%
52.8%
OT
36.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |