Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Dach 35.5% (+17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 67.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 73.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 67.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Gaudreau
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaudreau
Dach
Last 7: Gaudreau 4-3 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Dach
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
2
3
Gaudreau
Dach
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
32.5% (510)
+16.6%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
36.8% (19)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
37.5% (16)
+11.1%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Gaudreau shoots right. Dach is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Dach
Home
53.0% (483)
33.5% (278)
Away
46.7% (439)
32.2% (267)
By Period
Gaudreau
Dach
P1
53.5%
35.3%
P2
47.5%
30.6%
P3
49.5%
33.7%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 22, 2022 | OT | 01:03 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |