Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Dach 45.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 75.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 77.3%
Neutral zone
Dach 53.3%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Gaudreau
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudreau
Dach
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Dach
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
39.8% (108)
+5.2%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
57.1% (7)
-25.3%
On power play, Dach has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Gaudreau shoots right. Dach is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Dach
Home
42.6% (277)
43.1% (72)
Away
42.9% (259)
37.2% (43)
By Period
Gaudreau
Dach
P1
43.8%
37.8%
P2
44.8%
41.7%
P3
39.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |