Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Dach 41.9% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 62.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 59.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 52.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Gaudreau
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Gaudreau
Dach
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Gaudreau
Dach
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Dach
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
38.5% (213)
+9.9%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
33.3% (9)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
40.0% (5)
+10.3%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. Dach is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Dach
Home
51.1% (507)
38.8% (147)
Away
47.4% (508)
37.5% (80)
By Period
Gaudreau
Dach
P1
49.4%
36.3%
P2
47.4%
40.0%
P3
51.2%
40.0%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
27.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |