Frederick Gaudreau vs Mason McTavish

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mason McTavish holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 43.9% vs McTavish 49.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor McTavish leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone McTavish 57.3%
Defensive zone Gaudreau 92.8%
Neutral zone Gaudreau 74.0%
Result Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Gaudreau McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 8 (11 meetings)
3
8
Gaudreau McTavish
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 McTavish

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
6
Gaudreau McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Gaudreau McTavish
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaudreau
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
47.6% (616)
-2.6%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
57.8% (102)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
33.3% (6)
+4.3%
On power play, McTavish has a +26.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McTavish
Home
42.6% (277)
52.2% (389)
Away
42.9% (259)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Gaudreau
McTavish
P1
43.8%
50.0%
P2
44.8%
47.9%
P3
39.2%
49.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%
44.5%
42.7%
McTavish
46.0%
45.5%
48.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 3, 2026 3 14:50 Offensive Mason McTavish
Feb 3, 2026 3 02:21 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Feb 3, 2026 1 14:58 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Feb 3, 2026 1 04:43 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Dec 22, 2025 3 01:11 Offensive Mason McTavish
Dec 22, 2025 2 18:38 Neutral Mason McTavish
Dec 22, 2025 2 12:31 Offensive Mason McTavish
Dec 22, 2025 2 09:18 Offensive Mason McTavish
Dec 22, 2025 2 07:24 Offensive Mason McTavish
Oct 9, 2025 3 19:02 Neutral Mason McTavish
Oct 9, 2025 3 17:01 Offensive Mason McTavish