Frederick Gaudreau vs Mason McTavish
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs McTavish 50.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 71.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 63.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 57.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Gaudreau
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Gaudreau
McTavish
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
2
Gaudreau
McTavish
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
51.1% (769)
-1.9%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
50.6% (178)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
28.6% (14)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McTavish
Home
47.1% (546)
52.3% (461)
Away
49.4% (551)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Gaudreau
McTavish
P1
46.8%
51.5%
P2
46.8%
54.0%
P3
51.1%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |