Frederick Gaudreau vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.6%). Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs McTavish 48.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 66.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 70.3%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Gaudreau
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
22
(39 meetings)
17
22
Gaudreau
McTavish
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
13
Gaudreau
McTavish
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
10
3
Gaudreau
McTavish
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
6
Gaudreau
McTavish
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
48.2% (2,788)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
52.6% (435)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
34.3% (35)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McTavish
Home
49.2% (2,437)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Gaudreau
McTavish
P1
49.7%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
47.8%
P3
49.1%
48.4%
OT
36.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |