Frederick Gaudreau vs Mason McTavish
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs McTavish 43.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 50.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 60.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Gaudreau
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaudreau
McTavish
Last 7: Gaudreau 3-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
3
Gaudreau
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
42.4% (675)
+6.0%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
40.5% (42)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
50.0% (8)
+0.3%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McTavish
Home
51.1% (507)
41.9% (372)
Away
47.4% (508)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Gaudreau
McTavish
P1
49.4%
47.2%
P2
47.4%
36.2%
P3
51.2%
43.6%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |